The Conversation article: If plastic manufacturing goes up 10%, plastic pollution goes up 10% – and we’re set for a huge surge in production

Published: 16/05/2024

CMS members Dr Kathryn Willis and Dr Denise Hardesty co-authored on a recent publication for The Conversation, If plastic manufacturing goes up 10%, plastic pollution goes up 10% – and we’re set for a huge surge in production

Brief extract:

"In the two decades to 2019, global plastic production doubled. By 2040, plastic manufacturing and processing could consume as much as 20% of global oil production and use up 15% of the annual carbon emissions budget. Most of the plastic we make ends up as waste. As plastic manufacturers increase production, more and more of it will end up in our landfills, rivers and oceans. Plastic waste is set to triple by 2060.

Producers often put the onus back on consumers by pointing to recycling schemes as a solution to plastic pollution. If we recycle our plastics, it shouldn’t matter how much we produce – right? Not quite. The key question here is how close the is relationship between plastic production and pollution. Our new research found the relationship is direct – a 1% increase in plastic production leads to a 1% increase in plastic pollution, meaning unmanaged waste such as bottles in rivers and floating plastic in the oceans."

University of TasmaniaInstitute of Marine and Antarctic StudiesCSIRO Department of the EnvironmentGEOS
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